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15 Jan 2008: GBP-USD
GBP-USD has fallen in the last two months and remains bearish. Importantly, all the GBP crosses have fallen too, indicating the great pressure on the Pound. ...
15 Jan 2008: Market Comments
Today offers an excellent test of the big themes in the market: first, the Citigroup earnings report will offer a test of the market sentiment on the continue banking sector fallout and its impact on the risk aversion trade. With the recent huge Merrill writeoff and expectations of a USD 24 Billion writeoff from Citi today, this issue is a front runner. ...
14 Jan 2008: Judgment Time for the US Dollar as Market Prices in a great Chance for 75bp Cut
The number one driver of the US dollar at the moment is interest rates, that is why we continue to focus on how many basis points the Federal Reserve will be shaving off the Fed funds rate at the end of the month. Fed fund futures are now pricing in a close to fifty-fifty probability of a 75bp rate cut. ...
14 Jan 2008: Aussie dollar recovers on firm data, rate outlook
The Australian dollar regained early losses on Monday after strong domestic data reinforced views that local interest rates were headed higher in the near term, helping offset a bout of risk aversion.
Steadier regional stock markets, aided by talk of capital injection into beleaguered U.S. banks, saw investors return to higher yielding currencies. ...
14 Jan 2008: Last week's currency trading review
The Dollar continued to struggle against the majors despite finding some support in the beginning of the week. It was not until Chairman Bernanke’s comments mid week that “downside risks to the economy” remain caused investors to price in a possible 50 bps rate cut. ...