Noticias
16 Feb 2017

Sterling facing a potential drop of a further 16%

The pound has dipped by almost 18% against the dollar and 12% on foot of the Brexit vote.

 

A recent poll by Reuters stated that ‘the pound is likely to drop around 5% to $1.15 against the dollar after Ms May triggers Article 50’.

 

There is no question that Sterling has endured a complete landslide since the UK voters chose to leave the EU on June 23rd. The major European market analysts are warning that the worst has yet to come.

 

George Saravelos, Deutsche Banks’s Global Co-Head of Foreign Exchange has warned on numerous occasions that the pound could plummet as low as $1.05 against the dollar, or another 16% as the intensely complicated nature of Brexit starts to become clear.

 

Commenting on the Brexit negotiations that are coming down the line, Saravelos added: "Even though intentions are quite positive on both sides, we're very concerned about the lack of time to complete a deal in two years, and we worry that negotiations will get stuck around this issue of the payment which the UK has to make to leave the EU, and things will stall quite quickly”.

 

Mr Sarvelos final remark is a definite call to action for UK businesses as he is expecting sterling to drop "below $1.10, down to $1.08 or $1.05".

 

Safeguarding the risk your business faces The TransferMate team provide very competitive solutions around hedging enabling businesses to protect against at least some of the currency exposure they face.

 

It is very simple to add some level of protection and our solutions will always be more flexible than the bank.

 

Flexible Spot Contracts

 

Similar to forward contracts, a Flexible Spot simply allows you to guarantee today’s exchange rates for future currency exchange for a period of typically 6-12 months. Businesses may take the view that it is best to lock in today’s exchange rates for a period i.e. up to 12 months. This way you guard against currency fluctuation affecting your margins and know today what sterling is going to cost to convert in advance.

 

If you are concerned about further sterling weakness, our team can advise you today on the best options for your business!

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